Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 191.221762 227.506207 271.963036 331.537529 411.044111 5.162205e+02 6.708565e+02
2025-02-09 142.658447 183.764266 240.487679 328.139119 467.749205 6.974902e+02 1.147600e+03
2025-02-16 119.624075 162.055176 225.346986 333.387160 530.139635 9.190957e+02 1.927451e+03
2025-02-23 104.498456 146.941467 214.093806 338.153521 591.182569 1.183925e+03 3.260886e+03
2025-03-02 94.180460 136.602796 207.158642 346.910429 663.675394 1.545367e+03 5.986609e+03
2025-03-09 85.523411 127.170487 199.313943 350.854226 728.038024 1.968142e+03 1.156126e+04
2025-03-16 76.721218 116.053009 186.146492 339.702390 749.540699 2.290256e+03 2.059633e+04
2025-03-23 72.586442 112.290352 185.758692 356.180583 858.421016 3.181335e+03 7.257116e+04
2025-03-30 65.744470 102.816183 172.686413 339.461145 856.903254 3.546590e+03 1.796817e+05
2025-04-06 61.860578 98.238938 168.622624 343.740321 930.645698 4.616360e+03 3.215658e+06
2025-04-13 57.948261 93.151093 162.700348 341.687848 981.922217 5.770744e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 56.514561 92.563934 166.143034 365.965761 1162.476530 9.446569e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 56.270346 94.671424 176.852862 418.873884 1568.284920 2.522633e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 52.445606 89.235635 169.569882 414.694503 1678.134360 4.117985e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 49.692871 85.660839 166.066344 421.992479 1882.839463 9.143837e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 47.212724 82.361879 162.658985 428.623099 2108.571810 2.738903e+05 NaN
2025-05-25 45.223961 79.878352 160.868533 440.838010 2424.209273 2.603409e+06 NaN
2025-06-01 43.157185 77.003045 157.596901 446.353224 2710.524333 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 40.522613 72.637766 149.771057 430.780457 2745.196322 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 39.460259 71.660517 150.904677 453.815644 3348.329416 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.993807 67.309379 142.182855 430.444348 3249.423451 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 35.640156 65.382853 139.992643 436.411078 3655.313267 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 34.136645 62.989437 136.169023 433.547895 3927.679987 NaN NaN